Sunday 1 May 2011

EUR/USD Daily Outlook Oct25


FXstreet.com (Córdoba) – EUR/USD fell on Friday but not enough to erase weekly gains. The pair peaked at 1.5060 posting a fresh 14 month high. Dollar failed to break below 1.5000, despite testing several times a support zone at 1.4990. EUR/USD rose for the third week in a row accumulating an increase of more than 400 pips.
Euro rose sharply against Cable on Friday. EUR/GBP rebounded at 0.9000 and jumped to 0.9214, posting the highest price in a week. The pair respected an uptrend line in daily charts.

The Forex Trading Day


Unlike localized markets in which trading takes place in specific times zones and according to a specific national calendar Forex trading can be done around the clock, which means that you’ll have ample opportunities to trade in your spare time – whenever that is. The Forex trading day is a full twenty-four hours and the Forex week starts from 5:00 pm Sunday EST and finishes 4:00 pm EST on Friday. As such, you will have the opportunity to design a trading strategy that best complies with your lifestyle.

High Liquidity and Daily Turnover

The Forex market is highly liquid which essentially means that your currency transactions will be supported because there is a large number of other trading participants. The turnover generated each Forex trading day is much larger than those produced by other markets. For example, the stock market has a daily turnover of just $25 million whereas the Forex market conducts about $3 billion in trades daily.

The Importance of Transparency

As the Forex market is completely transparent, you will be able to trade on exactly the same level as big institutions, such as hedge funds and banks. Moreover, because Forex is such a gigantic market, nobody can manipulate its figures. Consequently, you can approach each Forex trading day with the confidence that you will not be subjected to any major sudden adjustments.

Major Currencies

You must also realize that the major currencies that are exchanged during each Forex trading day account for about 85% of its volume. They are the US dollar, Euro, British Pound, Swiss Franc, Canadian dollar, Australian dollar, Japanese Yen and New Zealand Dollar. Nevertheless, you needn’t live in a country with one of these currencies to have a profitable Forex trading experience. Instead, you’ll just need to learn how to monitor these currencies over the course of your Forex trading day.

Relationship with other Markets

Although Forex is independent of all other markets, you will find that it does have relationships with them, which can be an advantage if you’re familiar with other markets. For instance, Forex is strongly correlated to the stock market. For example, if the Dow Jones Index climbs in value, then so will the higher-yielding currencies such as the Euro and the British Pound. In contrast, the currencies exhibiting low yields will fall in value.

Fees and Charges

You will not be charged any fees directly by the Forex market. However, you will accrue costs from spreads and rollover fees, etc. For example, you will either earn or be charged a fee for keeping your positions open from one Forex trading day to 

Is Forex Trading for You?


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Kingfisher flights got delayed

Some Kingfisher flights got delayed due to a problem in the server of Kingfisher Airlines at the IGI Airport, in Delhi on Thursday evening. The external communication link supported by SITA, has failed for just 10 minutes. So, boarding passes have to be issued manually, till the time it could be restored. Some flights are delayed up to 30 minutes, an airline spokesman said.

Airbus opens up Air Show featuring Berlin

ow after announcing an order for 32 Airbus A380, estimated at some 11 billion dollars.
Airbus, the main division of European aerospace and defense group EADS, said it was the largest contract in dollar ever spent in the history of the area.
This successful legal challenge to U.S. manufacturer Boeing has come compensate the company’s difficulties in other areas so that another division of EADS, Eurocopter, recorded setbacks on some of its helicopter programs.
Based on list prices, purely indicative, the command Emirates can be estimated at 11.09 billion dollars (9.3 billion euros). This calculation is still viewed with caution, companies often reaching to get discounts on large orders.
The transaction brings to 90 the number of A380s ordered by the company. Its managing director, Sheikh Ahmed Bin Saeed Al Maktoum, also hopes that all of the A380 will be delivered by 2017.
“Our latest commitment reflects the confidence in Emirates’ future growth,” he said at a news conference.
In fact, the size of the new order, Emirates has stunned its competitors.
“It’s already a lot of us a miracle Emirates holds more seats on intercontinental routes that Air France-KLM and British Airways together with a relatively small domestic market,” noted Wolfgang Mayrhuber, CEO Lufthansa.
“One must assume that it is not an investment for the UAE but an investment in the world,” he added.
COMMANDS 234 A380
EADS shares gained 0.59% to 16.22 euros on Tuesday at the Paris stock exchange in a market still weighed down by fears about the management of sovereign debt crisis.
Airbus now lists 234 orders for the A380 and its sales manager, John Leahy, who previously expected 20 orders of very large aircraft this year, said a higher figure was now possible.
On order from Emirates giant also added that the Brazilian carrier TAM for 20 single aisle A320s and five long-haul A350-900, a commitment whose total value is estimated at 2.9 billion dollars (2.4 billion euros), also on the list price.
The Berlin exhibition, held once every two years, is often overshadowed by events of greater magnitude but EADS has decided to use it as a promotional springboard for its A400M military transport aircraft in the delay of almost four years.
After months of negotiations – which have called into question the very existence of the program of 31.2 billion euros – an agreement on funding between EADS and client countries was reached in early March.
A German official said, however that country ministers A400M customer did not discuss details of a contract amendment rightly provided under the agreement during a meeting Tuesday.
HARO GERMAN TAX
The first day of the Berlin air show was also marked by the German government’s willingness to establish a new tax on airline ticket prices flights from Germany.
This project could provide up to one billion euros a year into the coffers of the German state, is part of a larger plan to cut spending announced Monday by the government.
The IATA, the International Air Transport Association has blasted the draft German tax.

Forecasting Forex Trading

hat is Forex or Foreign Exchange: It is the largest financial market in the world, with a volume of more than $1.5 trillion daily, dealing in currencies. Unlike other financial markets, the Forex market has no physical location, no central exchange. It operates through an electronic network of banks, corporations and individuals trading one currency for another.

What about Forecasting: Predicting current and future market trends using existing data and facts. Analysts rely on technical and fundamental statistics to predict the directions of the economy, stock market and individual securities.

For those who trade using the Forex, or foreign currency exchange, knowing how to forecast the Forex can make the difference between trading successfully and losing money. When you begin learning about Forex trading, it is vital that you understand how to forecast the Forex trading market.

There are a few methods that are used when forecasting the Forex. Each system is used to understand how the Forex works and how the fluctuations in the market can affect traders and currency rates. The two methods that are most often used are called technical analysis and fundamental analysis. Both methods differ in their own ways, but each one can help the Forex trader understand how the rates are affecting the currency trade. Most of the time, experienced traders and brokers know each method and use a mixture of the two to trade on the Forex.

One method used in forecasting foreign currency exchange is called technical analysis. This method uses predictions by looking at trends in charts and graphs from past Forex market happenings. This system is based on solid events that have actually taken place in the Forex in the past. Many experience Forex traders and brokers rely on this system because it follows actual trends and can be quite reliable.

When looking at the technical analysis in the Forex, there are three basic principles that are used to make projections. These principles are based on the market action in relation to current events, trends in price movements and past Forex history. When the market action is looked at, everything from supply and demand, current politics and the current state of the market are taken into consideration. It is usually agreed that the actual price of the Forex is a direct reflection of current events.

The trends in price movement are another factor when using technical analysis. This means that there are patterns in the market behavior that have been known to be a contributing factor in the Forex. These patterns are usually repeating over time and can often be a consistent factor when forecasting the Forex market. Another factor that is taken into consideration when forecasting the Forex is history. There are definite patterns in the market and these are usually reliable factors. There are several charts that are taken into consideration when forecasting the Forex market using technical analysis. The five categories that are look at include indicators, number theory, waves, gaps and trends.

Most of these can be quite complicated for those who are inexperienced using the Forex. Most professional Forex brokers understand these charts and have the ability to offer their clients well-informed advice about Forex trading.

Another way that experienced brokers and traders in the Forex use to forecast the trends is called fundamental analysis. This method is used to forecast the future of price movements based on events that have not taken place yet. This can range from political changes, environmental factors and even natural disasters. Important factors and statistics are used to predict how it will affect supply and demand and the rates of the Forex. Most of the time, this method is not a reliable factor on its own, but is used in conjunction with technical analysis to form opinion about the changes in the Forex market.

For those interesting in being involved with Forex trading, a basic understanding of how the system works is essential. Understanding both forecasting systems and how they can predict the market trends will help Forex traders be successful with their trading. Most experienced traders and brokers involved with the Forex use a system of both technical and fundamental information when making decisions about the Forex market. When used together, they can provide the trader with invaluable information about where the currency trends are headed.

Always leave the forecasting to the pros unless you are playing the Forex as a hobby and don't have a lot of money invested...Or like most people you will learn the hard way.

Forex Market History

This brief Forex market history will give you some insight into how this market has evolved.

The Forex market, as we know it, was established in 1971 when floating exchange rates for currencies began to appear. Prior to that, international agreements, including the gold exchange standard of 1876 and the Bretton Woods Agreement of 1945 prevented speculation in the currency markets.

With international trade expanding rapidly after the second world war and the massive movements of capital across international borders, the foreign exchange rates established by the Bretton Woods Agreement became unstable and the agreement was finally abandoned in 1971.

By 1973, international currencies began to float in value, driven mainly by the forces of supply and demand. The ensuing deregulation resulted in much more open trade and led to an increase in currency speculators.

With the growth of the computer age in the 1980's, currency movement across borders became a 24 hour-per-day business, trading through the various time zones. Major banks created dealing rooms where massive amounts of the world's various currencies could be traded in a matter of minutes.

Today, electronic brokers trade the Forex market. Single trades of tens of millions of dollars are carried out within seconds. Most of these transactions are conducted to speculate on the market, with the aim of making money from money. These brokers, or Market Makers, are allowed to divide the large inter-bank units into smaller lots and allow private investors, smaller banks, hedge funds, etc. to buy and sell into the market. These brokers negotiate buy/sell prices between each other, thereby having the ability to set market prices for the rest of us.

Generally, the market is divided into the Asian, European and American sessions. The trading week begins in Asia on their Monday morning, and continues until the close of the American market on it's Friday afternoon. 24 hours a day, 5-1/2 days per week.

Because there is no central exchange for Forex, exact figures on any aspect of it are hard to come by, but it is estimated by the Bank for International Settlements (or BIS) that the average daily turnover of the Forex market in April 2006 was $2.7 trillion USD. This figure includes the spot market (the one we trade), swap market, futures and options. In other words, the Forex market is more than 10 times the size of the daily turnover of all the world’s stock markets combined.

Forex is a group of interconnected marketplaces where currency instruments are traded. Each marketplace is at liberty to set it's own exchange rate, which means that your dealer may be showing you different prices than the guy up the street would. The reality is, the prices are usually very close from broker to broker.

Inside information in the foreign exchange markets is virtually non existent. Changes in exchange rates are usually caused by actual money flows. Expectations of changes in this flow, caused by changes in GDP growth, inflation, interest rates, budget and trade deficits or surpluses, etc. are major price drivers. This information is released publicly, usually on specific dates at specific times. Since so many people have access to the same news at the same time, any "insider advantage" is unlikely. The large banks do have an important advantage though, they can see their customer's order flow.

Currencies are traded against one another. Therefore, a trade will consist of two currencies, or a pair, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, etc. The first currency of the pair is the base, and the second is known as the counter currency. Prices are expressed in terms of how much of the second, or counter, currency is needed to make up one unit of the base currency. For example, if the price quoted for EUR/USD is 1.3145, this is the price of one Euro expressed in US dollars, ie. 1 Euro=1.3145 US dollar.

We buy or sell the pair, at the market price, with an expectation the price will move higher or lower, towards our target.

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